Finally a Low pressure developing over Central Bay adjoining East central Bay of Bengal. This system is now particularly stationery in past 6 hours and it's now chance to intensify into a Well Mark Low pressure area in next 12 to 24 hours. For this reason Sea condition will be very unpleasant and windy and poor weather condition over Andaman nicobor island.
Sea surface temperature temperature near the system above the 29°C and Vertical wind share 7 to 9 knots. MJO and Indian oceanic dipole is phase 3 and phase 4.
A high pressure belt over Arabian sea and adjoining areas, Which is effecting over this Bay of Bengal system.
Enough moisture and enough potential energy consign over the bay.
All this kind of climatological condition accumulated and analysis all data. We create a special combination model. This special combination model is early predict that a this low pressure system will be turn into Depression or deep depression in upcoming days.
So mostly Fevorable condition is now available for supporting further development of this System.
Thank you
By P.ghosh
Update: 13:40 IST
15/10/2017
No comments:
Post a Comment