In July monsoon was vegiriously active over gangatic West bengal and nebourhood areas. For reason create a flood situation over gangatic West bengal. But in month of August middle week not to active monsoon west bengal region. Because of we are not to see any strong system development over any region. Bay of Bengal is behaving a peaceful sea. So SST (sea surface temperature ) is now reach above normal in next few days and unchange condition in next few days.
No vertical wind share of south to middle bay of Bengal is very high.
But north Bay of Bengal wind share is poor than south. So and all climatological condition are fevorable for any kind of system may be develope over north bay of Bengal in next week in 28th or 29th August, 2017.
But now a cyclonic circulation developing over north Andhra pradesh coast in past 24 hours. Its now move to west words and enter the north Andhra pradesh , chatrishgarh region. It will move constantly west north west words and reach Gujarat coast and intensification of this system and it may be form in a well mark low pressure area or Depression in next 2 or 3 Days.
So then Gujarat will be receive heavy to very heavy rainfall along the coastal region.
Now West bengal will not be able to receive very heavy rainfall. We are waiting for more time for very heavy rainfall in west bengal. But now we receive modarate to isolately Heavy fall for monsoon axis for next 48 to 72 hours respectively.
Thank you.
By P.ghosh
Update : 10:50am IST
26/08/2017
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