After July good monsoonal shower effected the eastern india and ruduce the deficiency of rain in month of July.
But Starting of August monsoon has lost his strength not to get any sufficient of rain in this month of August 1st week.
Because of Super typhoon NORU change the wind share , and indirect effect over the Indian Monsoon.
Other climatology phenomenon MJO was phase 5 and phase 6. Which is not for favorable for indian monsoon.
But Now the situation is changed.
MJO is now shift to phase 1 or 2.
Which is for fevorable for active monsoon.
And another climatological situation is good monsoonal shower all over the part of country.
Almost we saw a trough across the orisha , jharkhand, utter pradesh from the north west Bay of Bengal.
And a circulation over Utter pradesh and another is near assam and nebourhood areas.
In a satellite observation we seen monsoonal intense cloud conviction isolately gather over the west central Bay of Bengal and near of andaman island.
We are expecting modarate to heavy rainfall Activity over Andaman nicobor island in next 48 hours.
Kolkata may be receiving isolately modarate to heavy rainfall in next 48 hours.
Rainfall will be likely increasing in next 48 to 72 hours in gangatic West bengal.
North bengal chance to very heavy fall in next 72 hours.
No system Formation probability in next 48 hours in Bay Of Bengal.
Thank you.
By P.ghosh
Update: 21:45 IST
08/08/2017
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