Cyclone ockhi is now far away from indian mainland but it's till grow up its strength and move to the deep sea.
Current pressure 984 mb and gust wind 120 kmph and above. It's chance to further intensify into Very Severe Cyclone likely and cross the Lakshadwip islands with extreme Downpoor and strong wind in next 24 to 48 hours. Rough sea condition along all coastal region of South peninsula of Kerela, Tamilnaru, Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Goa also.
Tourist and travellers are not allow to the sea beach are of those state for next 48 to 72 hours.
All climatological condition fevorable for further more intensification of this system for next 24 hours. After 48 hours cyclone lost its strength for entering the cooler sea surface region, and under the influence of Western disterbance, cyclone recurve to the north east direction towords the Gujarat and adjoining Mumbai coast.
Another Cyclone like system is likely form over South Andaman sea region adjoining Sumatra coast. It's now just a Low pressure Area. But it's chance to concentrate into Well mark Low pressure area and further intensify into Depression in next 48 hours.
Fevorable SST and other climatological condition mostly Fevorable for further intensification of this system. So It's able to maintain its strength and possiblity of concentrate into Tropical Storm likely when it's located near South west bay of Bengal and same region.
☡ Landfall: south Andhra pradesh to North Andhra pradesh coast have maximum probability of landfall of this system. It may be weakening before it's landfall.
🌟 when it's enter the Land near Andhra pradesh coast. Then gangatic West bengal and adjoining region will be cloudy and enter Moisture those region.
So then minimum Temperature will be grow up. For this reason winter will be weakening for some days.
We are expecting that for this Bay of Bengal system landfall in Andhra pradesh region, Moisture will be continue to enter in gangatic West bengal. For this reason 4th December to 8th December temperature will not to be drop any more. But after 2nd week of December winter will be come back again.
Thank you.
By P.ghosh
Update : 13:50 IST
01/12/2017
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