Seasonal first fresh Cyclonic circulation over South west Bay of Bengal.
Under the influence of Cyclonic circulation, a Low pressure Area develop over South west Bay adjoining srilanka coast. This system likely developing upcoming days.
Sea surface temperature is now more than 29°C in all over the Equatorial bay of Bengal and nebourhood region. Their wind share also mostly Fevorable for intensification of any system.
For this reason, Nebour country Srilanka receive modarate to intense Rain and thunderstorm in past 48 hours.
More Rain effecting in Srilanka and southern tamilnaru, southern Kerela also.
Heavy to very heavy rainfall alart for next 24 to 48 hours in all over Southern Tamilnaru and kerela, Srilanka also.
Under the influence of intensification of Low pressure area, Very heavy rainfall possibility in Tamilnaru, Kerala and srilanka coast. 40 to 45 kmph wind flow affecting over Coastal area. So sea will become slidely rough, Fisherman advice to be cautious, when venturing into the sea.
This Low pressure area move to the west and west north west words in next 72 hours. This system chance to intensify into Well mark Low pressure area in few days when it's entering Arabian sea. Subsequently also chance to concentrate into Depression in those days.
But a high pressure area over North Arabian sea adjoining Oman coast. Which will be inhibit to further or maintain intensification of this system.
So this system can not be able to enter in land in as a strong system.
However, Pre monsoon activity will start over Southern peninsula. For this system, more thunderstorm activity will starting in south peninsula region.
Thank you.
By P.ghosh
Update: 00:50 IST
10/03/2018
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